Friday, 15 October 2021

Possible Catastrophic Possibilities



On the other hand, I don't think it's wrong to make a claim.

I would like to start by explaining that the functioning of the economy is related to the increase in the world population. When economies are in good shape, per capita income increases. Even if the incomes of the workers are less than those of the rich or well-educated, the real population growth is experienced in the middle income and lower groups. Because it is the middle and lower-income classes that make up the majority of the world's population. When the economy is good, they can easily find a job and have an opportunity to start a family. However, when the economy deteriorates, it is the middle and lower-income classes that are most affected. They find it difficult to find a job, their income opportunities narrow with the increase in population. When the population is dense, it is easier to find workers who will accept to work cheaper.

On the other hand, the increase in the world population causes more use of natural resources and an increase in the amount of waste. One of the most fundamental problems we experience today is climate problems due to the increasing amount of pollution and fossil gases. Even if it is possible to solve the fossil gas problem with renewable energy, renewing the energy and production produced with fossil resources is an issue that requires investment costs. When the investment cost increases, every technology change means that the costs increase; resulting in higher prices for products and services. When the world-wide surplus of the population occurs as the difficulty of finding a job and the decreasing amount of income; It does not happen as the demand increases due to the increasing prices of energy and services produced by renewable energy investments. For example, the transition from fossil fuel vehicles to electric and green hydrogen vehicles is slow.

When all the data is collected, we encounter three basic problems. One is the increasing world population and its consequences on nature, which is the destruction of more natural areas to build and feed the houses that the growing population needs; The other consequence is that more waste pollutes the planet. The other main problem is renewable technologies and the rising product and service prices as a result of the investment costs of these technologies. Non-renewal of technologies emerges as dense fossil waste. The third main problem is declining wages and rising unemployment.

When these problems are evaluated together; makes it possible for me to express a claim that I originally made. People living under difficult conditions do not marry, do not start a family and do not want to have children. I think that until the world population comes to a balance, the economic problems will not improve and will continue to get worse. However, I calculate that renewable investments will not be made at a rate that will positively affect the climate.

There is only one detail left that I need to express.

There are an average of 90 generations alive today. Those born each year make up a generation. If we calculate these generations at decade intervals, we can say that 9 generations are alive. Since the current world is 7.8 billion people; if conditions continue to adversely affect birth rates for 50 years; In 2071, the world population may decline to an average of 5.5 to 6.5 billion people. It seems possible that the planet will reach ~+5°C in the 2070s, unless the increasing amount of waste cleaning is done from seas and lands for 50 years and renewable energy investments are not made at a level that will affect the climate positively. Under these conditions, the possibility of the planet becoming uninhabitable is unfortunately very likely. It is very possible that it has come to a planet where species have disappeared, sea creatures have died, agriculture has become almost impossible, clean water is scarce, and breathing air can only be bought with money.

Remember this.  It has been glaciers, trees, insects and phytoplankton that have stabilized the climate for hundreds of millions of years.  They are also the ones who make life possible.



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