Friday, 15 October 2021

Possible Catastrophic Possibilities



On the other hand, I don't think it's wrong to make a claim.

I would like to start by explaining that the functioning of the economy is related to the increase in the world population. When economies are in good shape, per capita income increases. Even if the incomes of the workers are less than those of the rich or well-educated, the real population growth is experienced in the middle income and lower groups. Because it is the middle and lower-income classes that make up the majority of the world's population. When the economy is good, they can easily find a job and have an opportunity to start a family. However, when the economy deteriorates, it is the middle and lower-income classes that are most affected. They find it difficult to find a job, their income opportunities narrow with the increase in population. When the population is dense, it is easier to find workers who will accept to work cheaper.

On the other hand, the increase in the world population causes more use of natural resources and an increase in the amount of waste. One of the most fundamental problems we experience today is climate problems due to the increasing amount of pollution and fossil gases. Even if it is possible to solve the fossil gas problem with renewable energy, renewing the energy and production produced with fossil resources is an issue that requires investment costs. When the investment cost increases, every technology change means that the costs increase; resulting in higher prices for products and services. When the world-wide surplus of the population occurs as the difficulty of finding a job and the decreasing amount of income; It does not happen as the demand increases due to the increasing prices of energy and services produced by renewable energy investments. For example, the transition from fossil fuel vehicles to electric and green hydrogen vehicles is slow.

When all the data is collected, we encounter three basic problems. One is the increasing world population and its consequences on nature, which is the destruction of more natural areas to build and feed the houses that the growing population needs; The other consequence is that more waste pollutes the planet. The other main problem is renewable technologies and the rising product and service prices as a result of the investment costs of these technologies. Non-renewal of technologies emerges as dense fossil waste. The third main problem is declining wages and rising unemployment.

When these problems are evaluated together; makes it possible for me to express a claim that I originally made. People living under difficult conditions do not marry, do not start a family and do not want to have children. I think that until the world population comes to a balance, the economic problems will not improve and will continue to get worse. However, I calculate that renewable investments will not be made at a rate that will positively affect the climate.

There is only one detail left that I need to express.

There are an average of 90 generations alive today. Those born each year make up a generation. If we calculate these generations at decade intervals, we can say that 9 generations are alive. Since the current world is 7.8 billion people; if conditions continue to adversely affect birth rates for 50 years; In 2071, the world population may decline to an average of 5.5 to 6.5 billion people. It seems possible that the planet will reach ~+5°C in the 2070s, unless the increasing amount of waste cleaning is done from seas and lands for 50 years and renewable energy investments are not made at a level that will affect the climate positively. Under these conditions, the possibility of the planet becoming uninhabitable is unfortunately very likely. It is very possible that it has come to a planet where species have disappeared, sea creatures have died, agriculture has become almost impossible, clean water is scarce, and breathing air can only be bought with money.

Remember this.  It has been glaciers, trees, insects and phytoplankton that have stabilized the climate for hundreds of millions of years.  They are also the ones who make life possible.



Tuesday, 5 October 2021

Stages of Transition from Neoliberalism to Scientific Governance Model


 Moving from the neoliberal state model, which has been in practice since the 1970s, to another model cannot be expected to be completely painless. Every change carries its own difficulties. Even though the new system is perfect compared to the old one, there are some difficulties due to human habits.

While explaining the Scientific Governance Model, I started with Weber's understanding of bureaucracy and the example of Belgium. The first step of the transition phase that I will propose for the transition to SGM will again be the Weber bureaucracy. Because at a time when the political system is actively in office, it is necessary to expect that politicians will do their best to prevent the transition to the SGM. It is necessary to reckon with its privileges, its posh location, its super-luxury vehicles, its magnificent buildings, its power to change society with one decision, the power to manage the wealth of a country's taxes, and of course the resilience of anyone who has to lose their job.

While the Weber bureaucracy is in operation, universities create their own SGM modeling programs. However, since they will need to fully understand the system to be passed through, they all need to understand the situation and their new positions mentally and adapt. There may be those who do not grasp this position well and think that one of them will manage everything, or there may be those who sneakily pursue this aim. Humans are rational by nature, but whispers from outside and high bribery supplies can cause this essence to be misdirected. For these reasons, I think that it may be necessary to use psychological counseling service actively and necessarily in a planned manner during this transition period. Otherwise, it would be an unnecessary step to test the academics and professors of each university on their scientific competencies. However, it is important to apply KPIs regularly and crosswise when explaining the SGM model. By cross I mean different universities apply each other and each time this order changes randomly.

SGM models have two main structures. The first structure is the one that is open to development and for testing purposes within the relevant university. The other structure consists of intercollegiate models. The aim here is to test the efficiency of the results obtained after entering the data of the subjects to be studied and to put them into practice as an inter-university model when the most suitable model is developed. Of course, it is necessary to foresee that the first models can be reached after many meetings and long-term studies. For these reasons, it can be expected that it will take several years to 10 years to move from the Weber bureaucracy to the SGM model. It is necessary to eliminate the possibility that a rapid transition with unprepared models can cause serious collapses and chaos.

The challenge here is the long-running scientific debates in the university environment that prevent too quick decision making. Although science works with tests and evidence, when the subject is society; It is the society itself that will be tested, which is quite risky. Therefore, it requires models to be tested virtually after data has been processed. This, on the other hand, increases the possibility that the debates will take a long time, as it will cause differences in scientific opinion.

Internal assignments will need to be made after the models for each department are ready. This detail should not be forgotten. Individuals will not make decisions. The system itself, the models themselves, will decide how the state will operate. (It does not mean AI governance model control whole system. Humans will do the active implementation. However AI based models creates the solutions and humans discusses if those solutions are accurate and how/when/sequences of steps to be used in implementation.) Here, the role of the university should be developed in such a way that the models can be most scientifically accurate. It is important that the malfunctions that may occur after the model is put into practice are foreseeable. Thus, while the model number X is implemented, the efficiency of the operation can be analyzed and the design of the next model can be started.

Let me try to exemplify a little. This is what is expected when the data that will flow from society, economy, banks, liquidity in emission, companies' income, taxes, geography, city plans, roads, dams, running waters, atmosphere and every other area are transferred to the SGM model. In the light of all these data, what does the country need for investment, what are the social problems and in which subjects, can the citizens meet their needs, in which details are the class differences concentrated, etc. reports should be obtained. According to these reports, SGM should give algorithmic recommendations for each problem. Like what? I have a headache -> Go to the doctor -> The doctor examines it -> If he does not see a very serious problem that may cause headache, he writes the appropriate pain medication. -> If he is worried about any serious problem he will request tests like...... Algorithmic thinking is a construct of processes such as if, and, or, if. The SGM system will also be expected to analyze all data and produce algorithmic recommendations for related fields.

Algorithmic recommendations should be created separately for each field, but by evaluating the total data. Thus, if there is a need for a change in the field of law; this change will be rational. I think it is understood that there will be a change that will be made as all possible preliminary possibilities have been evaluated from the beginning. This is not how rational work is done in bureaucracy or political governance systems. There are many factors that can disrupt the rational flow. Habits, traditional approaches, religious approaches and influences, concerns, personal ambition, greedy people, lobbies etc. What makes the SGM system rational is that all data is entered continuously. These data are not just technical data. At the same time, data flowing from non-governmental organizations, data flowing from citizens thanks to the e-government system, requests, problems, etc. The system keeps a lively democracy alive within itself at all times. This analysis makes it possible to instantly identify conflicting requests or conflicting technical issues, thanks to the data flowing from the ever-living democracy.

Thus, the most rational solutions possible are formed thanks to the system outputs that will be formed by algorithmic methods. Another benefit of this method is that it solves future problems arising from conflicts from the current day.

Some businesses and some people may be dissatisfied with the outputs of the EOM system, since the citizens' primary objectives are to balance the benefit of society with the benefit of nature at an optimal level. For example, thermal power plant operations or those who have built settlements such as houses and hotels in the forest may not be satisfied with the relevant EOM decisions as they are damaging to this optimal balance. Because thermal power plants may be closed, settlements and businesses in forests may have to be demolished. There are so many practices in society that violate the rights of nature that it is impossible to list them one by one at the moment. But what we clearly know from a scientific point of view is that the more we disrespect the rights of nature, the more it comes back as harm to us humans. For example, a factory secretly dumps its toxic waste into a river. The river carries that waste to the sea. The river is poisoned, the seabed is poisoned. Shellfish die suddenly. Oxygenation is reduced. Small fish get sick. Big fish that eat small fish get sick. At the end of the process, we catch and eat big fish. The disease spreads to the community. etc. etc. For these reasons, continuous flow of data from every field is extremely important. In addition, ensuring the regular flow of these data is another very important issue that needs to be established.

Intra-university and inter-university hierarchy

The SGM structure rejects intra-university and inter-university hierarchy. Professors, academics, rectors and deans in all fields are at an equal level. The hierarchy system applied for the functioning of the universities does not exist in the SGM system. Its purpose is to ensure that only scientific data and scientific information are used. There is no democracy in science. No scientist decides which scientific data is correct at the sigma 6 level by voting. Or, those with a higher level of hierarchy do not have the right to talk about which data are scientific truths. It is only science (proven knowledge) that speaks. Within the framework of this logic, people take charge in SGM. The approach of one person or a group in a single university is not suitable for implementation in the SGM system. The fact that all universities reach the same scientific results on the accuracy of the same information can ensure the implementation of the relevant step.


13.06.2023 Addendum:

Economic Approach

Switching the political system to the Scientific Governance Model; It will not be enough to change the economy system without changing it. One of the most fundamental problems of the economy is the supply-demand approach. The price of a product is determined by the demand for that product. Money itself acquires a value as a result of supply and demand. However, the point on which economic theories are based is by pushing the society; It is based on forcing the individual to a point, a behavior model, using his/her selfishness. In reality, it is an increase in the profit margin without changing the production cost of the product. If the economy model is based on cost accounting; if supply - demand is completely excluded; The prices of the products become realistic. For example, when 100 people live in a village; Since the bakeries here can produce 80 breads a day, why would the demand be higher than the supply and change the production cost of the bread? If the production cost does not change; Why would the selling price increase? In case of a large number of producers, the price of the product begins to fall below the cost, and those who do not have sufficient financial means go bankrupt. It also causes unnecessary corporate warfare. The losers in the entire table from start to finish are usually consumers. The survival of producers depends on consumers consuming more and more all the time. The result of this is excessive pollution. It is climate degradation. It is the destruction of the planet. If the cost accounting system is applied in all areas, inflation will not occur. The cost need not increase unless an increase in costs occurs. Costs, however, are the depletion and non-maintenance of the relevant raw material; It depends on factors such as the implementation of new production technologies and the large amount of R&D studies that will affect the cost. It will not depend on the supply - demand of the raw material. As a result, companies that compete on price compete over the added value of the product and each excess value it offers to the consumer.


Money is a medium of exchange. It is not a product to be priced based on supply and demand. So money needs to be thought of as a unit like the meter. The meter does not lengthen or shorten from city to city or country to country. It is a unit of measurement. If money is used as a unit of measurement; currencies of all countries become equal. The exchange value does not change over time. At this point, it is necessary to answer the question of who will earn how much income in terms of employees. It is not very difficult. 1 unit of work = education time + experience + Qualifications + unit work time. With this perspective, income justice can also be achieved.



Saturday, 2 October 2021

Scientific Governance Model

 


According to Max Weber, bureaucracy is a form of organization consisting of division of labor, hierarchy of authority, written rules, filing of correspondence and activities, impersonality, a disciplined structure, and official positions. In this sense, bureaucracy is a rational form of organization; technically superior to other forms of organization.

Weber identifies six characteristics of an ideal type of bureaucracy.

Fixed official duties. Administrative posts are divided into fixed offices with specific responsibilities and duties.

Authority hierarchy.

Rules system.

Technical expertise.

Career Service.

Written documents.

In Belgium, there was no government for 541 days in 2010 and 2011, and 605 days from 2018 to 2019. The world press called this situation a political crisis. But due to the settled bureaucracy and legal system, no serious problems were experienced in Belgium. Life, commerce, law and all other business continued. Nothing significant happened.

In political science, this was viewed as a demonstration of the Max Weber bureaucracy.

Then some political scientists began to express that political parties and governments were unnecessary. This point of view is still new to political science and not generally accepted, but it is interesting. In a way, the scientific governance model I put forward is a close look to the political and non-government governance model I have expressed, but it has fundamental differences.

No matter how refined Weber's bureaucracy is, it cannot reach scientific discipline. It cannot withstand bribery and lobbying pressure. If lobbying can create a crack in the bureaucratic structure, it can poison the system from there. In the model I propose, all universities in a country run the country in a matrix network structure. Continuous data is collected from the field, modeled and problems are solved before they become problems. Related disciplines, namely departments, focus on their own subjects. Law department, economics department, geography, physics, medicine, pharmacy, public finance etc. Multidisciplinary models are created on complex issues. In other words, more than one department analyzes complex problems together and produces solutions and models.

Scientific Governance Model

First of all, it is necessary to accept this important detail as a basic principle. All of the important problems are technical and it is not possible to solve these problems without scientific competence.

For this reason, the general behavior pattern of politicians follows two methods so that important problems do not change the political system they have established. Either they produce new imaginary problems that reduce the place of the problems in the society's agenda, which are usually the enemies that will create security concerns, or they approach the problems from a cosmetic point of view and act as a procrastinator. This behavior pattern causes real problems to be more complex and intractable. The main purpose of politics is to ensure the distribution of values. Taxes are collected and these taxes are distributed to the relevant areas. In the neoliberal approach, it is essential that the wealthy (industrialists and investors) pay less taxes and collect taxes from the rest of the society. The aim here is for industrialists and investors to make more investments and create job opportunities. But at the same time, this approach results in more social class separation and income inequality.

It is not my purpose here to enumerate the failures of political systems and state governance models. There are many publications on this subject. There is no single political system that is implemented as a solution for the benefit of the society and the problems. If such a political system had been developed and implemented; The deep and inextricable problems of today's world should not have existed.

Scientific Governance Model Structure

There are many universities established in a country. Universities are not the only aim of educating students. On the contrary, they are areas where scientific studies are carried out and scientific development is provided. The method of science is to explain the existing with hypothesis, observation, test, theory and evidence and to produce solution models for problems.

There are many departments in a university. Each department follows and produces a scientific discipline. The joint work of these disciplines is called the multidisciplinary approach.

If the universities in a country are organized in a matrix network structure, much stronger disciplinary perspectives are obtained. For example, if the physics departments of all universities are organized to work together and to find solutions to problems together; the speed and abilities of solving a problem together with many academicians specialized in the same subject will increase. There is not a single decision maker, a single manager, a single idea generator in this organization. However, they all work together to produce models that they can use jointly. When data is loaded into these models, it will be seen that the same results are achieved in the physics department of each university. In this case, it is understood that a clear solution has been produced for the problem studied. However, if it is determined that different results are obtained in the models in some universities, different data and the structure of the model are reviewed. It is tried to produce the most correct approach to a common and solution.

The organization and operation of all departments of all universities in the country on the same principle will be brought to an organization that can respond to all problems and needs of the society and nature at an optimal level.

I call this system the scientific governance model (SGM). It can be foreseen that all the effects and pressures that may come from the outside and inside the SGM will not reach a level that may prevent the operation of SGM due to the distributed nature of the system. These effects are bribery, lobby pressures, personal ambitions, personal greed, etc. that I have mentioned above.

It is clear that SGM will have the ability to continuously develop its own models. The secure workspace offered by a distributed model free from politics, religion, oppression and personal greed is the key to scientific progress.

Continuous and regular data is needed during the operation of SGM. Organizing students in this regard will enable them to have active experiences in their own fields and to ensure a continuous flow of data from every field. The use of Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs) for data flow should be considered. In this way, both opinion and technical data will be collected together.

In SGM, democracy does not exist in the sense of election. Because political parties, political administration and governments do not exist. Its democratic structure ensures the continuous transfer of data and opinions from the field. The system ideally aims to solve problems with scientific modeling before they become a complete problem. However, in the event of unpredictable disruptions, it should be considered that departments such as law departments, public administration, public finance, etc. can solve the troubled sections. For this reason, no department member in any university has immunity.

Collecting taxes, regulating commercial activities, making investments, planning and implementing health services, analyzing and solving geographical problems, planning the energy need in the country and making the necessary investments, the effects of investments and trade on ecosystems, their functions on disease, etc. will have a developing governance model structure. In terms of workforce, the participation of already existing educated scientists, academicians and students continuing their education in the work of SGM makes it unnecessary to establish a government function. They can only choose among themselves to be assigned the task of representing domestically and internationally. However, this duty is given for one year and only to represent. They do not have the authority to take and implement any decision or sign. SGM itself takes decisions and implements them.

Police and army are available for internal and external security needs. However, only the police special forces and the army should be authorized to keep weapons in the country. Police and guards cannot carry firearms. They can carry a bat and an electric shock device. (The aim here is to create a peaceful society without weapons. The society itself is respectable and reliable. Honesty is contagious and shapes the structure of the society over time.) There should be no domestic sale of weapons. All previously sold weapons must be collected.

#1 It is a model that does not need selection. People do not choose anyone by choice. No politics. The public is not tried to be persuaded of anything. However, all studies, decisions, expenditures, etc. is published.

#2 It is a fluid and silent model running in the background. It solves problems and meets the needs in a balanced way, regardless of class structure. Thus, society continues its life with the least possible problems. The least trouble is the absolute and truly the least troublesome. The goal, of course, is zero problems. However, this is not scientifically possible.

#3 Dominant does not walk with a single signature so that a person or a group is not at the forefront or interests relations do not interfere with the governance. It works with the joint decision of the relevant scientific committees in the universities affiliated with the Network.

#4 There is no representation and decision-making authority in interstate relations. It only works by transmitting or collecting and transferring the decisions of SGM through representative spokespersons.

#5 As states move to the more scientific model, tensions between states naturally cease. Military expenditures are replaced by budgets spent on solving problems or on development.

#6 Continuous data collection is never terminated. Water, roads, parking, wages, price levels, legal needs, climate data.... the data belonging to each department is collected continuously and regularly and stored in a common database. In the light of these data, solution models are created and implemented.

#7 A problem can have many solutions. However, the number of solutions where one solution does not cause other problems is very limited. The most efficient will be preferred.

#8 It is aimed to increase the knowledge level of the society. Thus, while providing a better understanding and dissemination of scientific language; society becomes accustomed to scientific thinking. For example, explaining why and how to do agricultural irrigation; more valuable than imposing.

#9 The Scientific Governance Model uses scientific models precisely and strictly. Untested and unproven data is not scientific law.

#10 Many data and projects need to work multidisciplinary. The importance of the network emerges more clearly here.

#11 KPI measurement is required for those working on boards.

#12 All necessary state institutions such as Police, Hospitals, Central Bank are decided and created by SGM if the models show the need.

#13 There is no municipal system, but the needs of all cities are managed by the SGM, city services and planning departments.

#14 Supreme Court acts as an extension of SGM Legal departments. The Court of Accounts, on the other hand, continues its reporting task as an extension of the Public Administration and Audit departments.

#15 Data processing centers with high processing power will be needed to ensure the functioning of the SGM system. All universities use modeling techniques by connecting their respective departments to this computing network. As the total data content, there are data collected from the field, field analyzes of students, NGO data and demands, as well as requests and problem determinations that citizens will create from the e-government model. The data collected from the field includes the data of the institutions and the data that the analysts constantly collect from the field within the plans. For example, city data, waste data, land and sea data, settlement data, climate data, agricultural data, road data, atmosphere data, commercial data, legal data, energy use data, energy resource data, underground survey data, seafloor survey data etc. The use of data in model building is used both on the basis of university departments and in the SGM joint modeling system. Thus, it is decided by the joint scientific decision of the universities whether the modeling created as a result of the data analysis on the basis of the university will be included in the SGM. The aim here is to determine which model can produce the most efficient results by scientific methods. Some models can work with 60% accuracy. However, the model to be included in SGM is expected to reach 99% on the basis of Sigma 6.

#16 Models should seek the optimal balance between human life and natural life.

Stable and unstable aspects and risks of politics in terms of Political Science

The stable side of politics is usually the areas protected and rigidly defined in the constitution. These areas generally consist of items such as the country's regime being a republic, democracy, human rights, and the right to vote and be elected.

But at the same time, politics has functions that are unstable and carry risks. For example, once a political party is elected and a government is formed, democratic rights do not have absolute validity. The government does not consult the public on every decision it takes. Decisions taken and laws enacted without consulting the public may harm the democratic rights of individuals in society. Although the reaction of the society in this situation is usually in the democratic right class, it can be met with police barriers. For example, if the working time is increased from 8 hours to 12 hours or the retirement age is increased, the public will react. The people express through democratic actions that they do not approve of these decisions. However, the decision or the law cannot be changed. Moreover, the public may be met with police obstruction or violence. This situation can be called the risks of politics in unstable situations.

The government or parliament may take decisions limiting democratic rights out of concern for national security. For example, wiretapping, assembly bans, curfews, decisions to go to war or military action against any country. In this case, the democratic rights of the people are ignored. The society does not have the right to have a say in this decision or to intervene in these decisions.

These and similar examples can be multiplied. As a result, we can define the risks of politics as the application of unscientific methods in undemocratic ways. The existence of such practices throughout the countries contradicts the republic, individual and democratic rights in the internal definition of politics and the constitution. However, this contradiction is ignored. Decisions are made and implemented without consulting non-governmental organizations and individuals.

When we list these and similar examples one after another, in fact, all forms of political administration are authoritarian and actually undemocratic; (It would be pointless to discuss which practice uses more authoritarian and undemocratic methods. Because we can look at the details of the cases brought to against the state before the constitutional court, which usually result in loss.) We can easily notice that it lacks scientific approaches. But somehow people also choose to ignore these problems. There is usually an expression like: People are either born Christian/Muslim/Jew and right-wing, or atheist and defender of human and nature rights. Even if this statement is not entirely true, it can give an idea about human tendencies. This idea is the root cause of blindness and deafness as to why the political system is still alive.


13.06.2023 Addendum:


By looking at how the political models are understood by the society and whether they find a response; It is possible to foresee that the governance structure will not consist of political parties at the end of the century. There are many factors that cause this situation. In the income level surveys of the voters, it was found that middle and low income levels were reluctant to go to the polls. Inversely proportional to this, the amount of population in the middle and lower income level in the wealth pyramid is increasing every year. While the population forming the top of the pyramid is decreasing, the amount of income is increasing. Another factor is that societies see that their expectations from political parties and politicians do not come true over time. While not finding solutions to their problems causes them to lose their faith in politicians; In fact, it proves that the real expectation of societies is the solution to real problems. The fact that politics has become a profession; It reveals the fact that politicians work like brokers.




At this point, we need to ask the question of what is democracy and what does it do? In all known types of democratic regimes, if people do not want to vote and voting rates are decreasing, if we look at the issue since 1945, we see that almost 50% of societies have given up voting; In this case, it is necessary to question what democracy does, rather than its structure. If I have to repeat; According to the reality revealed by the reports, societies do not trust politicians. Because politicians don't solve problems. Looking in more detail; We find that politicians add to social problems. Income justice, education justice, equality between men and women, equal pay, discriminatory problems based on skin color, etc. The list is quite long.

After all, democracy is useless. The perfect work of democracy does not solve any problem. Because societies are starting to realize this simple truth. Scientists are the ones who can bring solutions to problems. Real and viable democracy is the process of conveying the problems to a center by the individuals in the society with practical communication tools, analyzing the collected problems and implementing the solutions by the scientists.







https://www.credit-suisse.com/about-us/en/reports-research/global-wealth-report.html

https://www.idea.int/sites/default/files/publications/voter-turnout-trends-around-the-world.pdf

Bilimsel Yönetim Modeli (Scientific Governance Model)


Max Weber'e göre bürokrasi, işbölümü, otorite hiyerarşisi, yazılı kurallar, yazışmaların ve faaliyetlerin dosyalanması, gayri şahsilik, disipline olmuş bir yapı ve resmî pozisyonlardan oluşan bir örgüt biçimidir. Bu anlamda bürokrasi, rasyonel bir örgüt biçimidir; teknik olarak diğer örgüt biçimlerinden üstündür.

Weber ideal tip bir bürokrasinin altı özelliğini tanımlar.

Sabit resmi görevler. İdari görevler, belirli sorumlulukları ve görevleri olan sabit ofislere ayrılır. 

Yetki hiyerarşisi. 

Kurallar sistemi.

Teknik uzmanlık. 

Kariyer Servisi. 

Yazılı belgeler.

Belçika'da 2010 ve 2011 yıllarında 541 gün ve 2018 yılından 2019 yılına kadar 605 gün hükümet kurulamadı. Dünya basını bu duruma siyasi kriz adını verdi. Fakat oturmuş bürokrasi ve hukuk sistemi nedeniyle Belçika'da hiçbir ciddi sorun yaşanmadı. Hayat, ticaret, hukuk ve tüm diğer işler devam etti. Aksayan önemli bir şey olmadı. 

Bu duruma siyaset biliminde, Max Weber bürokrasisinin kendini kanıtlaması olarak bakıldı.

Ardından bazı siyaset bilimciler siyasi partilerin ve hükümetlerin gereksiz olduğunu ifade etmeye başladılar. Bu bakış açısı siyasi bilimler açısından henüz yenidir ve genel kabul görmemiştir fakat ilginçtir. Bir bakıma öne sürdüğüm bilimsel yönetim modelinde ifade ettiğim siyasetsiz ve hükümetsiz yönetim modeline yakın bir bakıştır ancak temel farklılıkları vardır. 

Weber bürokrasisi ne kadar rafine edilirse edilsin bilimsel disipline ulaşamaz. Rüşvet ve lobi baskılarına dayanamaz. Lobicilik, bürokratik yapıda bir çatlak oluşturabilirse, oradan sistemi zehirleyebilir. Benim öne sürdüğüm modelde, bir ülkedeki tüm üniversiteler matrix bir ağ yapılanması içinde ülkeyi yönetirler. Sahadan sürekli veri toplanır, modellenir ve sorunlar, sorun halini almadan çözülür. İlgili disiplinler yani bölümler kendi konularına odaklanırlar. Hukuk bölümü, iktisat bölümü, coğrafya, fizik, tıp, eczacılık, kamu maliyesi vs. Kompleks konularda multidisipliner modeller oluşturulur. Yani birden fazla bölüm bir arada karmaşık sorunları analiz edip, çözüm ve modeller üretir.

Bilimsel Yönetim Modeli.

Öncelikle şu önemli detayı temel prensip olarak kabul etmek gerekir. Önemli sorunların tamamı tekniktir ve bilimsel yeterliliğe sahip olmadan bu sorunların çözülmesi mümkün değildir.

Bu nedenle politikacıların genel davranış modeli, önemli sorunların kurdukları siyasi sistemi değiştirmemesi için iki yöntem izlerler. Ya sorunların toplum gündemindeki yerini azaltıcı yeni hayali sorunlar üretirler ki bu sorunlar genelde güvenlik endişeleri yaratacak düşmanlardır ya da sorunlara kozmetik açıdan yaklaşıp, geçiştirici ve öteleyici hareket ederler. Bu davranış modeli ise gerçek sorunların daha karmaşık ve içinden çıkılmaz olmasına neden olur. Siyasetin temel amacı değerlerin dağıtılmasını sağlamaktır. Vergiler toplanır ve bu vergiler ilgili alanlara dağıtılır. Neoliberal yaklaşımda ise varlıklıların (sanayici ve yatırımcıların) daha az vergi vermesi ve toplumun geri kalanından vergi toplanması esastır. Buradaki amaç ise sanayici ve yatırımcıların daha fazla yatırım yapmaları ve iş olanakları yaratmalarıdır. Ancak aynı zamanda bu yaklaşım, daha fazla sosyal sınıf ayrılığı ve gelir adaletsizliği olarak sonuçlanır.

Burada siyasi sistemlerin ve devlet yönetim modellerinin başarısızlıklarını sıralamayı amaç edinmiş değilim. Bu konuda çok sayıda yayın vardır. Toplumun yararını ve sorunları çözücü olarak uygulanan tek bir siyasi sistem mevcut değildir. Eğer böyle bir siyasi sistem geliştirilmiş ve uygulanıyor olsaydı; günümüz dünyasının derin ve içinden çıkılmaz duruma getirilmiş sorunlarının var olmamış olması gerekirdi.

Bilimsel Yönetim Modeli Yapısı (Scientific Governance Model Structure)

Bir ülkede kurulmuş çok sayıda üniversite vardır. Üniversitelerin tek amacı öğrenci yetiştirmek değildir. Aksine bilimsel çalışmaların yapıldığı ve bilimsel gelişmenin sağlandığı alanlardır. Bilimin yöntemi ise hipotez, gözlem, test, teori ve kanıtlar ile varolanı açıklamak ve sorunlara çözüm modelleri üretmektir.

Bir üniversitede çok sayıda bölüm vardır. Her bölüm bir bilimsel disiplini takip eder ve üretir. Bu disiplinlerin ortaklaşa çalışmalarına ise multidisipliner yaklaşım denilir.

Bir ülkedeki üniversiteler matrix ağ yapısı içinde organize edilecek olursa, çok daha güçlü disipliner bakışlar elde edilir. Örneğin tüm üniversitelerin fizik bölümleri birlikte çalışacak ve sorunlara birlikte çözüm arayacak şekilde organize edilirse; aynı konuda uzmanlaşmış çok sayıda akademisyenin birlikte bir sorunu çözme hızı ve yetenekleri artacaktır. Bu organizasyonda tek bir karar alıcı, tek bir yönetici, tek bir fikir üretici yoktur. Ancak hepsi birlikte çalışarak ortak olarak kullanabilecekleri modelleri üretirler. Bu modellere veriler yüklendiğinde her bir üniversitenin fizik bölümünde aynı sonuçlara ulaşıldığı görülecektir. Bu durumda, üzerinde çalışılan soruna dair net bir çözüm üretildiği anlaşılır. Ancak bazı üniversitelerdeki modellerde farklı sonuçlar elde edildiği tespit edilecek olursa, farklı veriler ve modelin yapısı tekrar gözden geçirilir. Ortak ve çözüme en doğru yaklaşım üretilmeye çalışılır.

Ülkedeki tüm üniversitelerin tüm bölümlerinin aynı prensipte organize edilmesi ve çalışması toplumun ve doğanın tüm sorun ve ihtiyaçlarına optimal seviyede yanıt üretebilecek organizasyona ulaştırılmış olacaktır.

Bu sisteme bilimsel yönetim modeli (BYM) adını veriyorum. BYM'ine dışarıdan ve içeriden gelebilecek tüm etki ve baskılar, sistemin dağıtık olması nedeniyle BYM'nin çalışmasını engelleyebilecek düzeye ulaşamayacağı öngörülebilir. Bu etkiler yukarıda ifade ettiğim rüşvet, lobi baskıları, kişisel hırslar, kişisel açgözlülük vb etkilerdir. 

BYM'nin sürekli olarak kendi modellerini geliştirici özelliğe sahip olacağı açıktır. Siyaset, din, baskılar ve kişisel açgözlülüklerden arındırılmış dağıtık bir modelin sunduğu güvenli çalışma alanı, bilimsel gelişmenin anahtarı niteliğindedir.

BYM'nin çalışması esnasında sürekli ve düzenli verilere ihtiyaç vardır. Öğrencilerin bu konuda organize edilmeleri hem kendi alanlarında aktif deneyimlere sahip olmalarını hem de her alandan sürekli veri akışının sağlanmasını sağlayacaktır. Veri akışı için Sivil Toplum Kuruluşlarının (STK) kullanılması düşünülmelidir. Bu sayede hem görüş içeren hem de teknik veriler birlikte toplanmış olacaktır.

BYM'inde demokrasi seçim anlamında yoktur. Çünkü siyasi partiler, siyasi yönetim ve hükümetler mevcut değildir. Demokratik yapısını sahadan sürekli olarak veri ve görüşlerin aktarılması sağlar. Sistem ideal olarak bilimsel modelleme ile sorunların tam bir sorun halini almadan çözmesini amaçlar. Ancak tahmin edilemeyecek aksamaların olması durumunda hukuk bölümleri, kamu idaresi, kamu maliyesi vb bölümlerin aksayan bölümleri çözebileceği düşünülmelidir. Bu nedenle hiçbir üniversitedeki hiçbir bölüm mensubunun dokunulmazlığı yoktur.

Vergilerin toplanması, ticari faaliyetlerin düzenlenmesi, yatırımların yapılması, sağlık hizmetlerinin planlanması ve uygulanması, coğrafi sorunların analiz edilmesi ve çözülmesi, ülkedeki enerji ihtiyacının planlanması ve gerekli yatırımların yapılması, yatırımların ve ticaretin ekosistemler üzerindeki etkileri, hastalık üzerindeki fonksiyonları ve bunun gibi her alanda sürekli çalışan ve gelişen bir yönetim modeli yapısına sahip olacaktır. İş gücü açısından, hali hazırda var olan eğitimli bilim insanlarının, akademisyenlerin ve öğrenimlerine devam eden öğrencilerin BYM'nin çalışmasına katılmaları ayrıca bir devlet fonksiyonu kurulmasını gereksiz kılar. Yalnızca yurtiçi ve yurtdışı temsil etme görevi verilmesi için kendi içlerinde seçim yapabilirler. Ancak bu görev bir yıllığına verilen ve yalnızca temsil etme görevidir. Herhangi bir karar alma ve uygulama, imza yetkisine sahip değillerdir. BYM'nin kendisi karar alır ve uygular.

İç ve dış güvenlik ihtiyacı için polis ve ordu mevcuttur. Ancak yurtiçinde silah bulundurma yetkisi yalnızca polis özel kuvvetlerinde ve orduda bulunmalıdır. Polis ve bekçiler ateşli silah taşıyamazlar. Cop ve elektrik şok cihazı bulundurabilirler. (Buradaki amaç, silahsız, huzurlu bir toplum yapısı oluşturmaktır. Toplumun kendisi saygındır ve güvenilirdir. Dürüstlük bulaşıcıdır ve topluma yapısını zaman içinde şekillendirir.) Yurtiçinde silah satışı olmamalıdır. Daha önce satılmış tüm silahlar toplanmalıdır.

#1 Seçime gerek olmayan bir modeldir. Halk seçimle birilerini seçmez. Siyaset yapılmaz. Halk, bir şeye ikna edilmeye çalışılmaz. Ancak şeffaf olarak tüm çalışmalar, kararlar, harcamalar vs. yayınlanır. 

#2 Arka planda çalışan akıcı ve sessiz bir modeldir. Sorunları çözer, ihtiyaçları sınıfsal yapıdan bağımsız olarak dengeli karşılar. Böylece toplum, kendi yaşamına mümkün olan en az sorunla devam eder. En az sorun, mutlak ve gerçek anlamda en az sorundur. Amaç, elbette sıfır sorundur. Ancak bu, bilimsel olarak mümkün değildir. 

#3 Dominant bir kişinin veya bir grubun ön planda olmaması ya da çıkar ilişkilerinin yönetime karışmaması için tek imza ile yürümez. Network ile bağlı üniversitelerdeki ilgili bilim kurullarının ortak kararıyla çalışır.

#4 Devlet arası ilişkilerdeki temsil ve karar alma yetkisi söz konusu değildir. Yalnızca BYM kararlarının temsilci sözcüler vasıtasıyla iletilmesi veya toplanıp, aktarılması ile çalışır.

#5 Devletler daha çok bilimsel modele geçtikçe, devletler arası gerilimler doğal olarak sonlanır. Askeri harcamaların yerini sorunların çözümüne veya gelişime harcanan bütçeler alır.

#6 Sürekli veri toplanması hiçbir şekilde sonlandırılmaz. Su, yol, park, ücret, fiyat seviyeleri, hukuksal ihtiyaçlar, iklim verileri.... her bölümün kendisine ait olan veriler sürekli ve düzenli olarak toplanır ve ortak veri tabanında depolanır. Bu veriler ışığında çözüm modelleri oluşturulur ve hayata geçirilir. 

#7 Bir problemin birçok çözüm yolu olabilir. Ancak bir çözüm yolunun, başka sorunlara yol açmadığı çözüm sayısı çok sınırlıdır. En verimli olanı tercih edilecektir.

#8 Toplumun bilgi seviyesinin arttırması amaçlanır. Böylece bilimsel dilin hem daha iyi anlaşılması ve yaygınlaştırılması sağlanırken; bilimsel düşünmeye toplum alıştırılmış olur. Örneğin tarımsal sulamanın neden ve nasıl yapılacağının anlatılması; dayatılmasından ziyade daha değerlidir.

#9 Bilimsel Yönetim Modeli, kesin ve kati biçimde bilimsel modelleri kullanır. Test edilmeyen ve kanıtlanmayan veriler, bilimsel kanun değildir. 

#10 Birçok veri ve projenin multidisipliner olarak çalışması gerekir. Networkün önemi burada daha belirgin olarak ortaya çıkar.

#11 Kurullarda çalışanların KPI ölçümlemesi gereklidir.

#12 Polis, Hastaneler, Merkez Bankası gibi gerekli tüm devlet kurumları, modellerin ihtiyacı göstermesi halinde BYM tarafından kararlaştırıp, oluşturulur.

#13 Belediyecilik sistemi yoktur ancak BYM, şehir hizmetleri ve planlama bölümleri tarafından tüm şehirlerin ihtiyaçları yönetilir.

#14 AYM, BYM Hukuk bölümlerinin bir uzantısı olarak görev yapar. Sayıştay ise Kamu İdaresi ve Denetleme bölümlerinin bir uzantısı olarak raporlama görevini sürdürür.

#15 BYM sisteminin işleyişini sağlamak için yüksek işlem gücüne sahip veri işleme merkezlerine ihtiyaç olacaktır. Bu bilgi işlem ağına tüm üniversiteler ilgili bölümlerine bağlanarak modelleme tekniklerini kullanırlar. Toplam veri içeriği olarak, sahadan toplanan veriler, öğrencilerin saha analizleri, STK verileri ve talepleri ve aynı zamanda vatandaşların e-devlet modeli içerisinden oluşturacakları talepler ve sorun tespitleri yer alır. Sahadan toplanan veriler, kurumların verileri ve planlar dahilinde sürekli olarak analizcilerin sahadan topladıkları verileri kapsar. Örneğin şehir verileri, atık verileri, toprak ve deniz verileri, yerleşim verileri, iklim verileri, tarımsal veriler, yol verileri, atmosfer verileri, ticari veriler, hukuksal veriler, enerji kullanım verileri, enerji kaynak verileri, yer altı araştırma verileri, deniz tabanı araştırma verileri vs.dir. Verilerin model oluşturmada kullanılması hem üniversite bölüm bazında hem de BYM ortak modelleme sisteminde kullanılır. Böylece üniversite bazında veri analizleri sonucunda oluşturulan modellemenin BYM bünyesinde yer alıp almayacağına üniversitelerin ortak bilimsel kararı ile verilir. Buradaki amaç, hangi modelin en verimli sonuçlar üretebildiğinin bilimsel yöntemlerle tespiti içindir. Kimi modeller %60 doğruluk oranıyla çalışabilir. Ancak BYM bünyesine girecek modelin Sigma 6 bazında %99 oranına ulaşması beklenir.

#16 Modellerde insan yaşamı ve doğal yaşam arasındaki optimal denge aranmalıdır.